Анализ сценариев в методе обобщенных интервальных оценок

The method of the generalized interval estimations (GIE) developed by authors earlier is offered for using in scenario analysis of the theory of decision-making. GIE procedures to study problems with dependent parameters in the framework of the scenario approach are developed in addition to previous mathematical tools. An example of similar problems is the task of forecasting volumes of commercial developed reserves of ill-studied objects in dependence on prices for hydrocarbons. Analytical formulas for different forms of the generalized uniform distributions that may use in scenario analysis are developed. Numerical methods allow calculate distributions of final indicators if they are not generalized uniform ones.